I'm still yet to watch quite a few of the nominated titles, but when I have free time, I have been making my way through the films which interest me, that are available on streaming services. Yesterday I watched I Care a Lot, which was Rosamund Pike reprising her streak of Gone Girl-villainy, to very entertaining and thrilling effect!
Best motion picture - drama: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Word on the street is that Best actress drama will be a showdown between Carey Mulligan and Frances McDormand. As McDormand won here just three years previously for Three Billboards, I'm hoping the Golden Globes mix it up here and reward Mulligan for what I feel is her best performance.
Best actor in a motion picture - drama: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Chadwick Boseman is tipped to win a bittersweet posthumous Oscar, so it's likely that the road to that begins with the Golden Globe win tonight.
Best motion picture - musical or comedy: Hamilton
Hamilton isn't a film, thus shouldn't have been nominated here, and indeed, it's ineligible for the Academy Awards. But the Golden Globes like to do Globes-y things, and I think despite the medium being wrong, it's still of the highest quality in the category.
Best actress in a motion picture - musical or comedy: Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
My personal pick would be Pike for I Care a Lot, but I won't begrudge Bakalova her win, as she had a lot to do in Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, and did it very funnily. Furthermore, her character gave the film some emotional heft, when it could have easily descended into farce.
Of these nominees here, Bakalova is the only one who is likely to get nominated for an Oscar (albeit in Best Supporting Actress), which makes predicting her win straightforward.
Best actor in a motion picture - musical or comedy: Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
It was between Lin-Manuel Miranda and Sacha Baron Cohen. But I really didn't see Baron Cohen doing anything in the Borat sequel that he didn't do with more aplomb in the first film. So I'm hoping Miranda triumphs here.
Best actress in a supporting role in any motion picture: Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Best actor in a supporting role in any motion picture: Leslie Odom Jr, One Night in Miami
So the consensus is that the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor will go to Daniel Kaluuya, which would be absolutely incredible (and the closest his Skins co-star Kaya Scodelario will ever get to an Oscar #shade). And the Golden Globes do often reward the eventual Oscar winner.
But they also sometimes like to mix it up (rewarding Aaron Taylor-Johnson for Nocturnal Animals when he didn't even get nominated for an Oscar was random but awesome), and I think this seems the apt category to reward Leslie Odom, Jr, for the film he's nominated for, and his exemplary work years before as Aaron Burr in Hamilton.
Best director - motion picture: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Chloe Zhao has been collecting several critics' awards for her directing work in Nomadland, and if the film isn't crowned anywhere else, this would be a good place to. The fact that the Golden Globes nominated three female directors (Regina King and Emerald Fennell being the other two) also suggests they're making a statement.
Best screenplay - motion picture: The Trial of the Chicago 7
They love Sorkin. *shrugs* The Trial of the Chicago did have a lot of zippy dialogue, which I'm sure the HPFA will swoon for, although I did find some of said dialogue a bit on the nose and glib. But that won't stop it from winning.
Best motion picture - animated: Soul
Best motion picture - foreign language: Minari (USA)
Best original score - motion picture: Soul - Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross, Jon Batiste
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross are also nominated for Mank, but as the music in Soul plays such a big part in it, it makes more sense to reward them for the Pixar film.
Best original song - motion picture: Speak Now - One Night in Miami
"Speak Now" was performed movingly over the end credits of One Night in Miami, and it packed a punch with the ending, so probably this.
I'm much less au fait with what's going on with the TV awards, so the below is pure guesswork (and I predicted Emma Corrin for The Crown out of love for Princess Di):